Mayweather vs McGregor: Live Discussion - 8/26/17

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Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
5,711
6,851
Checking out the Oddessa interview. Especially meaty bits begin here:


View: https://youtu.be/siwCPP2A8LM?t=3906


Line has already moved again at 5d. -560/+475 now. Would not be surprised if there's a run on Floyd, now, with the perception that it's bottomed out & the late money for Floyd has begun to go down. Oddessa predicts around 500 for close in the interview (seems like he meant Floyd side -500 -- already modest at current price).

Odd also says he laid -600, thinking that was as low as the price for Floyd would go. Kinda comforting to know the sharpest industry guy in the world can mis-predict the line movement by that much.

Betting action on this is a freak show.
I got -450 today & went with it, didn't think it'd get any lower. If it does I might have to bet that too
 

nuraknu

savage
Jul 20, 2016
6,247
10,770
A Mayweather-McGregor pick 'em template has been posted. If anyone wants to play who doesn't normally play Monster's, I think this one might end up being a standalone event (for the TMMAC Money Belt - Splinty @Splinty has the power, so he will have to decide what that should be - maybe a green name + bragging rights for a month?).

Monster's Pick 'em Championship Season 11 | Page 10 | TMMAC - The MMA Community Forum

All you have to do is copy the template and paste it into a new post (or quote it), with one pick for each fight. Correct winner is 2 points, correct method also is 1 additional bonus point.

Picks and all edits are due by the start of the event -- looks like 7 PM ET for the prelims. There's a link in the template to a page that will give you the time in different timezones.

Good luck everyone!
 

LurkenLikaGherkin

First 100
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Jan 16, 2015
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I got -450 today & went with it, didn't think it'd get any lower. If it does I might have to bet that too
Nice - that was the lowest price I saw, and it's not likely to go back there. -615/+510, 5d, now. Sort of think it will go up to at least -660. No particular insight, just intuition.
 

Mishima Zaibatsu

TMMAC’s resident musician
Feb 27, 2016
2,969
3,523
Itll be so great to get back to business as usual once all of this bullshit is over. Sick too death of this being the only thing people are talking about.
 

LurkenLikaGherkin

First 100
First 100
Jan 16, 2015
1,521
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I personally couldn't believe it moved under -1100. I'm not joking either.
That's what I thought the final price would be, pretty much exactly, early on. Crazy.

Also crazy: it's moving back the other way now. Go figure. One outlet has Floyd at like -380 -- way lower than others, but it's not moving that fast so you have to wonder if that is the real number, and the books are taking big positions on Floyd against crowd money on principle. On 5d Floyd is back down to -545. OLY is -560. Pinny is -535. Those three are the OGs online. Action is nuts & you have to wonder if the outcome if McG wins could close some books -- -380 number is super suspect to me, like that book might close if the outcome goes the wrong way.

In case this hasn't been linked yet, pretty cool interview with Chris Eubanks, Sr., cool on several levels:


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HerZ-jO_Cv0


Celtic Warrior theory is out there, but enjoyable to think about. Warrior spirit thoughts (quotation?) are pretty fukin inspirational.
 

LurkenLikaGherkin

First 100
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Jan 16, 2015
1,521
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The book offering -385 is listed as belonging to Mohawk Canada, which you'd have to think is Kahnawake (the listed license-granter of most offshore gaming), itself claiming to be licensed in Jersey (!), which is all just kookoo.

Boxing Betting, Wager on Boxing Odds at Sports Interaction

You have to wonder if these are closer to the real worldwide action numbers, and for the most parts books are refusing to offer the real odds (on Floyd), with their folding point in the middle of the juice, and are all instead all taking big positions on Floyd.
 

GSPTrainingInAPool

Man on the silver mountain
Dec 1, 2015
2,995
3,826
Lovely Canadians, how are you watching this fight? Can i buy the PPV & stream online? No cable and want to watch it at home so i can deep fry a whole bunch of goodies!