Sports DFS Thoughts & Opinions - and other Gambling tips

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Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
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I get so mad when my position players go 0-5 and net me zero. I always pull up the box score. "Did that fuck even play?"
Goldschmidt, Pollack & Martinez were my top 3 favorite hitters on the slate. I only took Rosales & Iannetta b/c they were cheap & at the top of the order. You could've won a lot of money from me if you had bet that Goldy & Martinez would put up bagels. Won all cash & finished in the money, I shouldn't complain

I thought about that too. The Colts are so terrible it makes it tempting.
Higgins is 4k too, he'll get plenty of targets, if he catches a TD we're really in business
 
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Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
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tight pricing this week, I like it, unless there's some injury news there's not a lot of obvious value. came up with a cash lineup for the Thurs-Mon slate, haven't really looked at much was just playing around. came up with kizer, hunt, Montgomery, landry, Higgins, tate, clay, hyde, & dolphins D. don't like it one bit, want to find a way to get Ajayi in there too

have a good feeling about Austin Seferien-Jenkins this week, off the booze & might be the best receiver on the Jets

edit: yet to read anything about this week, most stuff I do comes out of Thursdays, but I played around & reworked the cash lineup a bit. almost certain to change, but I like this much better

kizer, hunt, ajayi, Higgins, tate, landry, sererian-jenkins, hyde, steelers D
 
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ShatsBassoon

Throwing bombs & banging moms
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
18,555
33,607
tight pricing this week, I like it, unless there's some injury news there's not a lot of obvious value. came up with a cash lineup for the Thurs-Mon slate, haven't really looked at much was just playing around. came up with kizer, hunt, Montgomery, landry, Higgins, tate, clay, hyde, & dolphins D. don't like it one bit, want to find a way to get Ajayi in there too

have a good feeling about Austin Seferien-Jenkins this week, off the booze & might be the best receiver on the Jets

edit: yet to read anything about this week, most stuff I do comes out of Thursdays, but I played around & reworked the cash lineup a bit. almost certain to change, but I like this much better

kizer, hunt, ajayi, Higgins, tate, landry, sererian-jenkins, hyde, steelers D
Kearce is the jets best receiver. I have him plugged into a couple lineups. He's quietly been a top ppr wr last 2 weeks.

Higgins is gonna see lots of looks don't have the stones to put kizer in though.
 

Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
5,711
6,851
Kearce is the jets best receiver. I have him plugged into a couple lineups. He's quietly been a top ppr wr last 2 weeks.

Higgins is gonna see lots of looks don't have the stones to put kizer in though.
Kearse should see plenty of targets again, there was a news blip on rotoworld yesterday that ASJ's out of shape & might not play & will be on a snap count if he does

Kizer is more for the 50-50 contests, just pay down there to get some studs in the lineup & hope kizer gets to 15 points. if he gets to 20 we're rolling. I guess it'd be possible he's on a big tourney winning lineup, & weird as it sounds that game could turn into a shootout, but I'd probably pay up for a better QB in tourneys unless I was really confident in the rest of the roster

I'm looking at how bad ATL has defended pass catching RB's, it might be a Theo Riddick week. love Jack Doyle this week at TE
 
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Truck Party

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Mar 16, 2017
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Hauler @Hauler if McCaffrey is going to happen, it would be this week. If a player is struggling, the Saints D on the road is the cure for what ails them
 

Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
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I have him in a MON/THU tourney. Figures that he would get banged up. I have Guerley too so that's good.
28 yards on the first drive too. glad he's back in at least. might have to play McCaffrey into cash lineups, not happy about it but I've lost money on worse players before
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
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28 yards on the first drive too. glad he's back in at least. might have to play McCaffrey into cash lineups, not happy about it but I've lost money on worse players before
I'm planning on playing McCaf. Saints are so bad on defense.
 

Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
5,711
6,851
I'm planning on playing McCaf. Saints are so bad on defense.
he was already in on 75% of snaps last week & got 20% of targets in the passing game on the year, that should only go up with Olsen out. he got a lot of red zone work too. now we just have to depend on Cam not to sail all the throws over his head
 

Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
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narrowed it down for 50-50s/h2h/small field tourneys, from favorite to least favorite

QB- Kizer, Cousins, Carr, Stafford
RB; Ajayi, Montgomery, CJ Anderson, McCaffrey, Bell, Gordon, still undecided on Hunt
WR- Higgins, Hopkins, Green, Tate, Benjamin, Funchess
TE- Doyle, Ertz
D/ST- Eagles, Pats

like Desean Jackson a lot for larger field tourneys, Min has a great corner that will follow Evans around, their 2nd CB is injured & the 3rd CB who draws Jackson is atrocious. Sanu is facing a slot corner that was rated worst in the league last year, but rated the absolute best this year, I'm not buying those 2 games, like Sanu. Like Mixon this week a little, new O-coordinator had 2 jobs, get Green & Mixon the ball more. Everyone loves Green & forgot about Mixon. Diggs & Thielen are in play if Bradford seems healthy, though Bradford might not survive a hit, Cook isn't. I think McCoy will meet Cook in the backfield several times Sunday.
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
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With the new OC, I wouldn't be surprised to see the focus fall off a regimented game plan and focus squarely on the talent - which should mean AJ Green, Mixon and Eifert.

Tough to bet on a team that hasn't scored a TD yet, but Green Bay's D isn't Baltimore or Houston.
 

Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
5,711
6,851
With the new OC, I wouldn't be surprised to see the focus fall off a regimented game plan and focus squarely on the talent - which should mean AJ Green, Mixon and Eifert.

Tough to bet on a team that hasn't scored a TD yet, but Green Bay's D isn't Baltimore or Houston.
A lot of teams perform well the week after the coach were fired, I might stack up this whole game incase it turns into a shootout & put it in a large field tourney
 

Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
5,711
6,851
narrowed it down for 50-50s/h2h/small field tourneys, from favorite to least favorite

QB- Kizer, Cousins, Carr, Stafford
RB; Ajayi, Montgomery, CJ Anderson, McCaffrey, Bell, Gordon, still undecided on Hunt
WR- Higgins, Hopkins, Green, Tate, Benjamin, Funchess
TE- Doyle, Ertz
D/ST- Eagles, Pats

like Desean Jackson a lot for larger field tourneys, Min has a great corner that will follow Evans around, their 2nd CB is injured & the 3rd CB who draws Jackson is atrocious. Sanu is facing a slot corner that was rated worst in the league last year, but rated the absolute best this year, I'm not buying those 2 games, like Sanu. Like Mixon this week a little, new O-coordinator had 2 jobs, get Green & Mixon the ball more. Everyone loves Green & forgot about Mixon. Diggs & Thielen are in play if Bradford seems healthy, though Bradford might not survive a hit, Cook isn't. I think McCoy will meet Cook in the backfield several times Sunday.
forgot about Allen the first list. forgot about Pryor, Reed/Davis & Cooper/Crabtree tourneys Less Cooper than the rest, he usually has his big games against horrible CB's, that's not the Skins this year
 
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Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
5,711
6,851
had planned on taking yesterday off got a head to head challenge from a guy I think I could beat blind so I threw a couple lineups in. should've thrown them in a lot more. Top one I threw in a tourney & bottom lineup is the h2h



Adding Keenan Allen & Thielen in my cash game mix, their matchups are too good against weak CB's
 
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ShatsBassoon

Throwing bombs & banging moms
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
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Who are we picking for upsets this week? I'm thinking Seattle over Tennessee in a close game. Carolina doesn't cover. Eagles by a td and jaguars take the win in london
 

Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
5,711
6,851
Who are we picking for upsets this week? I'm thinking Seattle over Tennessee in a close game. Carolina doesn't cover. Eagles by a td and jaguars take the win in london
looks like you've got 1 so far. had all my lineups set last night, just waiting to see if murray will be ruled out. Where do you think Hauler @Hauler is? I have it on good word he enrolled in a fantasy football bootcamp this weekend so he gets better results
 

ShatsBassoon

Throwing bombs & banging moms
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
18,555
33,607
looks like you've got 1 so far. had all my lineups set last night, just waiting to see if murray will be ruled out. Where do you think Hauler @Hauler is? I have it on good word he enrolled in a fantasy football bootcamp this weekend so he gets better results
I need Baltimore to come from behind. I picked a tie so I need jags to win by field goal or less
 

Truck Party

TMMAC Addict
Mar 16, 2017
5,711
6,851
Terrance West just did the eating cereal celebration like Elliot does after a 6 yard run down 30 points, then fumbled it the next play
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
45,614
57,951
looks like you've got 1 so far. had all my lineups set last night, just waiting to see if murray will be ruled out. Where do you think Hauler @Hauler is? I have it on good word he enrolled in a fantasy football bootcamp this weekend so he gets better results
I was camping. Just got back in town. I need to get my lineups set. 1 hour to spare.