In my opinion, this fight doesn't have much to analyze. Henderson is a counter striker and could potentially clip Lombard. Lombard throws very heavy and Henderson might not be able to handle the power anymore. Tell me what you think.
I think it comes down to Hector's speed more than anything.
I either see Hendo getting finished in a similar fashion to the way Vitor finished him or Dan winning a decision/landing an H-bomb (I can't believe we use this term after how terribly Mauro coined it.)