General Forecaster: Trump 91% chance of winning
- Thread starter Toelocku
- Start date
I agree he will lose penn but there are other paths to victory
Ftr i think Trump will lose
M
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No respected forecaster/pollster is saying Trump has that high of a chance. The respected ones are saying 11%.
Ftr his chances on election day 2016 were 30% according to the same pollsters.
Ftr his chances on election day 2016 were 30% according to the same pollsters.
Not this guy...hes not a pollster
Primary Model Predicts Trump Victory -
Primary Model Predicts Trump Victory Helmut Norpoth, Stony Brook University The Primary Model predicts with 87-percent certainty that Republican Donald Trump will defeat Democrat Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. The forecast is unconditional, final, [...]
politicalsciencenow.com
The Primary Model
primary model is a scientific model of forecasting election results. The Primary Model forecasts presidential elections with great accuracy. Author of The Primary Model, Helmut Norpoth. Political Scientist and Professor at Stony Brook University.
primarymodel.com
First off...
I've already got 500 tied up with
@IschKabibble More out of degeneracy than confidence. But regardless, I'm already in the game.
Secondly, currently. Currently. I have no idea where this is going this week. Trump's fracking attacks are good moves and I don't know anything about PA other than how to review what's being reported.
Trump called me and left me a message
It was definitely him, making sure I was still ok to get to the polls and vote
He has my vote
Biden hasn’t left me a message
It was definitely him, making sure I was still ok to get to the polls and vote
He has my vote
Biden hasn’t left me a message
First off...
I've already got 500 tied up with
More out of degeneracy than confidence. But regardless, I'm already in the game.
Secondly, currently. Currently. I have no idea where this is going this week. Trump's fracking attacks are good moves and I don't know anything about PA other than how to review what's being reported.
kidding...trump went from +135 to +125 in the last 24 hours is all I know
Don’t be kidding, don’t be scared of him, be true to yourself and give him shit
Not scared
He is backing all the wrong horses this year
I am just being kind, I don't like to break a man too quickly
I'll expand my presidential bet.
100 on Biden.
You take 100 on Trump.
Same rules regarding supreme court as
@IschKabibble Let's go.
NopeI'll expand my presidential bet.
100 on Biden.
You take 100 on Trump.
Same rules regarding supreme court as
Let's go.
I don't bet friends $$$ online or IRL
Lose lose situation IMO
Plus I can get +130 on my gambling services for the Don if I want
With all the fuckery that is, has been, and will be involved in 2020 I will just spectate
So politely accept my dicktuck for what it is
I'll expand my presidential bet.
100 on Biden.
You take 100 on Trump.
Same rules regarding supreme court as
Let's go.
I'll make a bet for any takers.
I bet my left nut that if Trump wins @Prison Rape Survivor will get a one week pinking, at minimum.
I bet my left nut that if Trump wins @Prison Rape Survivor will get a one week pinking, at minimum.
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I bet hundreds on games all the time
Have seen too many welchers online and in person, even a small debt/loss can change the relationship
Only bet I have offered here was loser leaves site bet with hugger twice...he wisely declined the offer twice
I only was gonna bet him because we apparently have a 5 year long E beef
He will cry himself to sleep for a month
Homeboy hasn't even recovered from 2016 yet
Problem with betting high stakes is the enjoyment wanes.
Small bets keep thing interesting and enjoyable.
Oh, I know
Used to have a bit of a problem
A hundred or so is actually small stakes for me now
I make tiny bets also on fights...bigger bets on Football
I used to bet MMA huge when they weren't as good with their betting lines
The highs of big stake betting don't outweigh the lows or the stress is how I see it
I never really lost a ton of money or anything but it became an obsession
You remember the losses much more than the wins
Presidential bets don't really interest me