General Corona virus updates

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Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
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89,915
South Padre this weekend



More springs breaks next week.


I'm not that worried about the spread now, but it takes time to ramp this stuff up. Like a hurricane, just do an orderly draw down as you see it coming then its no biggie. We have an easy ability to do this without panic.


Here is hurricane panic - that's Rita after Katrina. Nothing nothing nothing. Okay go! At the last minute:




You don't leave and panic at the whole hurricane season just because its inevitable its coming and you don't refuse to evacuate because you think its cool.
And even more, this 'hurricane' is solved with netflix and chill.
 

MMAPlaywright

First 100
First 100
Jan 18, 2015
6,030
10,651
People actually started EATING dead people in New Orleans in the aftermath of Katrina. I think that could start happening here.
 

MMAPlaywright

First 100
First 100
Jan 18, 2015
6,030
10,651
Coronavirus: Death toll rises in Italy

The total number of global cases has surpassed 150,000, including more than 5,700 fatalities. Over 73,000 patients are reported to have recovered. Get the latest updates from around the world:

Italy confirms 368 new deaths in one day

UK confirms 1,372 positive cases

Ghana closes borders from countries with more than 200 cases

Spain orders a nationwide lockdown after 1,500 new cases

France orders closures of non-essential shops, cafes, restaurants and cinemas

Trump says US travel ban will be extended to include the UK and Ireland

Canada and Australia issue self-isolation mandates for international arrivals
 

Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
44,116
89,915
How many more weeks of this do you guys think

i hope less than 2

Of what?
Look at the curves in Italy in South Korea.
You're looking at two weeks of ramp up followed by plateauing for a couple weeks.
That's where they are at right now.
Our two week ramp up is coming right now. Whether we plateau in a couple weeks or shoot the moon like Italy will depend on social distancing and testing strategies.

South Korea has people recovering now and their plateau phase and new cases starting to be lower than recovery.
So we will have to see how long the taper off takes. You can look at China there but they are pretty unique due to being in ground zero.


Regardless the active phase and choices on whether we test enough or not are right now into the next two weeks.

@spakuri it says we will be overrun by May. Thats 6 to 8 weeks away. But even Italy which shot the moon is starting to flattened before that time so I don't think that's accurate. But never underestimate American ingenuity. We can screw up with the best of them.

So based on existing countries if we do really well in our social distancing you're looking at probably 4 to 6 weeks of slow down to prevent disaster then recovery starts following and will have to see how long that takes.
 
M

member 1013

Guest
Of what?
Look at the curves in Italy in South Korea.
You're looking at two weeks of ramp up followed by plateauing for a couple weeks.
That's where they are at right now.
Our two week ramp up is coming right now. Whether we plateau in a couple weeks or shoot the moon like Italy will depend on social distancing and testing strategies.

South Korea has people recovering now and their plateau phase and new cases starting to be lower than recovery.
So we will have to see how long the taper off takes. You can look at China there but they are pretty unique due to being in ground zero.


Regardless the active phase and choices on whether we test enough or not are right now into the next two weeks.

@spakuri it says we will be overrun by May. Thats 6 to 8 weeks away. But even Italy which shot the moon is starting to flattened before that time so I don't think that's accurate. But never underestimate American ingenuity. We can screw up with the best of them.

So based on existing countries if we do really well in our social distancing you're looking at probably 4 to 6 weeks of slow down to prevent disaster then recovery starts following and will have to see how long that takes.
I’m not gonna start washing my hands