3-6 months
Risk factors like obesity are also more prevalent here, and our response has been slower than Italy
Got a great deal too from people using my affilate link .i paid 81 bucks each with free shipping
And more people.
Our case load is on the same trajectory as Italy and South Korea for the same time line. Nothing is inevitable right now.
Like I said depends on what we do And these next couple of weeks. We could bungle It and shoot the moon or not. I've already expressed my concern about the lack of testing.
You're going to single-handedly undermine all of North America and make sure that we're the new Italy
M
member 603
Guest
I agree, ramp up until April 1st (then all the bullshit April Fool's jokes about us being cured/end of the world). After a week of holding numbers, then you'll start seeing dropping numbers. By May 1st people will be running out of their homes to bars/clubs/restaurants/shows/planes/etc
Are you jewing down the virus time?
personally I think 30-50% of US pop has been exposed
that number could be low
It was loose in november...many peoples winter cold/flu may have been this new strain
Nature of Global Travel
Of course I could be wrong, but if it is indeed so easy to transmit then it is already everywhere.
Depending on how you look at it, my theory could be a good thing or a bad thing.
-Good because death rate is much lower likely overall.
-Bad thing because it may have spread to the weak immune system individuals of our population already.
Of course, I could be way the fuck off and I will be the fist to admit so.
that number could be low
It was loose in november...many peoples winter cold/flu may have been this new strain
Nature of Global Travel
Of course I could be wrong, but if it is indeed so easy to transmit then it is already everywhere.
Depending on how you look at it, my theory could be a good thing or a bad thing.
-Good because death rate is much lower likely overall.
-Bad thing because it may have spread to the weak immune system individuals of our population already.
Of course, I could be way the fuck off and I will be the fist to admit so.
I wish that were true. You only need 60 or 70% infected to get enough herd immunity to drastically slow it down.
who knows
we basically have no data right now
testing is pretty much non existent as we know
Lots of people I know that don't usually get sick were sick within the last 2-3 months, to varying degrees.
M
member 603
Guest
i'm of the opinion that the window for the things that separate the S Korea curve from the Italy curve, like restricting borders and advocating for temporary social isolation, has already closed...especially when I see the lack of concern in our general population.
Even our President is refusing to get tested after exposure.
I hope you're wrong. America has an incredible ability to pull of great feats or screw it up in ways we could never imagine.
I’m guessing 6-8 more weeks of some level of craziness.
Lookit that photograph
Phew. Good job we're not Facebook friends, I'd never live this down with you telling everyone I know about my NBack addiction.
We have lots of data
The United states runs a realtime database of hospital flu-like illnesses to catch this type of thing in our own backyard
Note this:
Seattle...
Proven flu tests going down:
Bump in flu like illness going up:
You can guess that's probably Coronavirus and not another unknown illness. We also have respiratory virus panels for others and while those are not reported into this the same way, they don't have a habit up outbreaks this time of the year. So yeah, that's corona right there.
Chuck Liddell coming outta retirement bookit
4
4070
Guest
i predict in 2 weeks all of u s will be in self quarantine because of all the idiots roaming around and getting infected and passing it on to old people and killing them
Here's your Coronavirus
@Inside Job
Overlaying the illness to known flu tests to find flu like that isn't flu...
So if your hard black line falls with the grey lines, its historically the usual background virus.
But look at Missouri. And note all the recent upticks where historically everything is going down.
There's your coronavirus
@Inside Job Overlaying the illness to known flu tests to find flu like that isn't flu...
So if your hard black line falls with the grey lines, its historically the usual background virus.
But look at Missouri. And note all the recent upticks where historically everything is going down.
There's your coronavirus
more:
red line is h1n1 2009 data
Gray lines are historical background expectations.
Black line is this year
Look for areas the black line leaves the historical norm, especially for TRENDS not data points. Going up when its always been going down?? Probably Coronavirus
Find your region.
But again, you could look at weather patterns and cold spells that made people stay in etc. But I wouldn't assume that given the trade off.
red line is h1n1 2009 data
Gray lines are historical background expectations.
Black line is this year
Look for areas the black line leaves the historical norm, especially for TRENDS not data points. Going up when its always been going down?? Probably Coronavirus
Find your region.
But again, you could look at weather patterns and cold spells that made people stay in etc. But I wouldn't assume that given the trade off.
The Charmin bear right now...
