General Electile Dysfunction: an election that lasts longer than 4 days is a serious medical problem

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@Splinty - what mechanism explains the D-R drift in the other states? Or is that data not being interpreted correctly?
Show me the order things were counted.
All I did was read his thread and immediately note his ignoring known reality (also that he plotted by "batches" even though batches have wildly different amounts of votes in each one so he's got an axis that doesn't even represent consistent voting values.). I don't spend a lot of time arguing with a premise that is built so poorly.
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,719
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“It’s such a shame. This is a democracy,” Daryl Brooks, who said he was a GOP poll watcher, said at the press conference, held at Four Seasons Total Landscaping in Northeast Philadelphia. “They did not allow us to see anything. Was it corrupt or not? But give us an opportunity as poll watchers to view all the documents — all of the ballots.”



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What's the point of this post exactly?
 
D

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@Splinty - what mechanism explains the D-R drift in the other states? Or is that data not being interpreted correctly?
This stuff below???

You can't take anything from this guy accurately as he is ignoring things like whether states precanvas and/or precount ballots.
These are BATCH REPORTING times. Size of the batch is not standard.
Do you count everything at a central location in every state (far rural has to be transported to Austin in TX?)

There are a LOT of jumps this guy makes. In smaller states, the size of a city would be a limiting factor before distance like in Texas or Florida.


Here is a plot of the same Florida voting data, but this time it's the ratio of #Biden to #Trump ballots, versus time. What we see is that the initial ballot reportings are very noisy and "random".
The initial reporting represents in-person voting. These vote reports have such large variation bc in-person voting happens across different geographic areas that have different political alignments.
We can see this same pattern of noisy in-person voting, followed by homogeneous mail-in reporting in almost all cases.
What we see in almost all examples across the country is that the ratio of mail-in Dem to Rep ballots is very consistent across time, but with the notable drift from Dem to slightly more Rep.
This slight drift from D to R mail-ins occurs again and again, and is likely due to outlying rural areas having more R votes.
 

Rambo John J

Baker Team
First 100
Jan 17, 2015
75,647
74,704
"Keep an eye on the IG investigation. There's a written affidavit and is denying"


You keep an eye on it, inspector gadget.

@Splinty I ask you again...
Do you Recant?!?!
 

Freeloading Rusty

Here comes Rover, sniffin’ at your ass
Jan 11, 2016
26,916
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Steve Bannon Caught Running a Network of Misinformation Pages on Facebook
Avaaz said that it alerted Facebook to the pages on Friday night. By that time, in aggregate, Avaaz says the top seven pages—Brian Kolfage, Conservative Values, The Undefeated, We Build the Wall Inc, Citizens of the American Republic, American Joe, and Trump at War—had collectively gained over 2.45 million followers. In some cases, Bannon and Brian Kolfage, co-conspirator in the “We Build the Wall, Inc.” fundraiser/alleged scam, were co-admins.
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,719
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lol

this thread is like 95% shitpost now

Started off Dolph Lungren
Had a couple thousand crying gifs
Then some Rifle and Reloading talk
Can't wait for the next twist...
I think he was implying the guy wasn't reliable because he's a sex offender. I'd think that if that's an issue it probably calls into question the entire vetting process.
 
D

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I think he was implying the guy wasn't reliable because he's a sex offender. I'd think that if that's an issue it probably calls into question the entire vetting process.
Go read the prediction tweet, take a breath, and laugh for a second.