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This stuff below???
You can't take anything from this guy accurately as he is ignoring things like whether states precanvas and/or precount ballots.
These are BATCH REPORTING times. Size of the batch is not standard.
Do you count everything at a central location in every state (far rural has to be transported to Austin in TX?)
There are a LOT of jumps this guy makes. In smaller states, the size of a city would be a limiting factor before distance like in Texas or Florida.
Here is a plot of the same Florida voting data, but this time it's the ratio of #Biden to #Trump ballots, versus time. What we see is that the initial ballot reportings are very noisy and "random".
The initial reporting represents in-person voting. These vote reports have such large variation bc in-person voting happens across different geographic areas that have different political alignments.
We can see this same pattern of noisy in-person voting, followed by homogeneous mail-in reporting in almost all cases.
What we see in almost all examples across the country is that the ratio of mail-in Dem to Rep ballots is very consistent across time, but with the notable drift from Dem to slightly more Rep.
This slight drift from D to R mail-ins occurs again and again, and is likely due to outlying rural areas having more R votes.
