General A thread to discuss and follow the incoming inflation bomb

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D

Deleted member 1

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when you don't get these simple calculations
Because the guy that didn't know what OSB is set a bet on "the price of lumber" which could mean a lot of things in that context. You weren't clear if you were talking the pegged commodity exchange price or what, so I waited for you to clarify.
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
47,674
59,563
Fox Business again incorrectly reporting this morning that lumber fell off 30% last week.

They are looking at futures, which has nothing to do with actual dollar-for-product transactions. The market slowed, but it was up overall pushing further into record territory.

Reporting like this is dangerous, because customers hear it and get pissed when prices aren't dropping.
 
D

Deleted member 1

Guest
Fox Business again incorrectly reporting this morning that lumber fell off 30% last week.

They are looking at futures, which has nothing to do with actual dollar-for-product transactions. The market slowed, but it was up overall pushing further into record territory.

Reporting like this is dangerous, because customers hear it and get pissed when prices aren't dropping.

Just more media manipulation by big lumber
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
47,674
59,563
Just more media manipulation by big lumber
I think it's coming from a place of ignorance.

But when I hear it, I know I will have to have 3 or 4 conversations about pricing today. Irritating.

I can't wait for lumber to fall back off their radar.
 

Rambo John J

Baker Team
First 100
Jan 17, 2015
75,690
74,738

I can get fast food workers a living wage for only 4% more on each burrito?

That seems like a pretty good plan.

$7 burrito now cost 7.28.
I think the brand sucks up that extra .28, food will probably take another dip in quality or something else will be shaved...corporate style

Haven't had good food there myself
 

kneeblock

Drapetomaniac
Apr 18, 2015
12,435
22,917

I can get fast food workers a living wage for only 4% more on each burrito?

That seems like a pretty good plan.

$7 burrito now cost 7.28.
Direct response to this.

 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
47,674
59,563

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
47,674
59,563
So lumber prices have finally started a pullback. OSB is still heading higher, but that should flatten out as well over the next couple of weeks.

Now the question is does it fall off the table or will it find a new "normal" level? It's important to remember we are still 2x higher than what was the accepted market price range.

It took a long time to get here. Where it goes and how fast it gets there will be interesting. But the crazy run appears to be over.
 

ThatOneDude

Commander in @Chief, Dick Army
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
35,390
34,114
So lumber prices have finally started a pullback. OSB is still heading higher, but that should flatten out as well over the next couple of weeks.

Now the question is does it fall off the table or will it find a new "normal" level? It's important to remember we are still 2x higher than what was the accepted market price range.

It took a long time to get here. Where it goes and how fast it gets there will be interesting. But the crazy run appears to be over.
I hope it fucking crashes
 
D

Deleted member 1

Guest
will it find a new "normal" level?
This is what I expect. There's no reason to expect a fall off the cliff unless we see some weird combination of incentives.
Right now supply remains limited for the foreseeable future and demand will stay high dude to housing shortages forcing new home builds and remodels to compete.
Housing will stay expensive so that will keep housing parts expensive. Got to fix supply and that's a long ways off.

I think the only that has flattened out prices is that they are high enough to blunt demand. You seem some contracts being cancelled as middle class Americans are priced out of homes.
 

ThatOneDude

Commander in @Chief, Dick Army
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
35,390
34,114
This is what I expect. There's no reason to expect a fall off the cliff unless we see some weird combination of incentives.
Right now supply remains limited for the foreseeable future and demand will stay high dude to housing shortages forcing new home builds and remodels to compete.
Housing will stay expensive so that will keep housing parts expensive. Got to fix supply and that's a long ways off.

I think the only that has flattened out prices is that they are high enough to blunt demand. You seem some contracts being cancelled as middle class Americans are priced out of homes.