Disproving or explaining what Qat?
Would you like to open a dialogue, open and free, about the bellwether proclamation above?
We can establish facts surrounding it, and get it right together?
Yes, let's do it.
You take the lead because naturally I know little about it.
It's enough to select some data and make a "meme-portion" of information out of it, but that was only to show that those memes can literally come from anyone not knowing shit, or deliberately leaving out context.
Do me two favors tho:
- no videos or memes
- try to write easy English, normally I'd say I can understand most stuff pretty good, but I swear some of the sentences you put together are not meant to be understood by the foreign
As far as my understanding goes, here is where you can pick me up:
- Bellwether counties are those that always voted for the eventual winner of the election
- thus, they seem not to have ingrained parties they support historically, switching em often
- this flipping, as I understand, is trending downward recently in all of the country, but when the winning party flips and you don't - you lose
- naturally with every new election the probability of bellwether counties becoming fewer increases
- in 2016 already an unprecedented amount of em got it wrong
- in 2020 even more of em got it wrong
- both elections were very polarizing
- bellwethers - and the name wasn't chosen accidentally - are used for predictions
- other instruments of prediction, such as polls, have proven to be unsharp leading up to 2016 and since