General *LIVE* Arizona - Maricopa County Recount

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Qat

QoQ
Nov 3, 2015
16,379
22,495
Disproving or explaining what Qat?

Would you like to open a dialogue, open and free, about the bellwether proclamation above?
We can establish facts surrounding it, and get it right together?
Yes, let's do it.

You take the lead because naturally I know little about it.
It's enough to select some data and make a "meme-portion" of information out of it, but that was only to show that those memes can literally come from anyone not knowing shit, or deliberately leaving out context.

Do me two favors tho:
- no videos or memes
- try to write easy English, normally I'd say I can understand most stuff pretty good, but I swear some of the sentences you put together are not meant to be understood by the foreign

As far as my understanding goes, here is where you can pick me up:
- Bellwether counties are those that always voted for the eventual winner of the election
- thus, they seem not to have ingrained parties they support historically, switching em often
- this flipping, as I understand, is trending downward recently in all of the country, but when the winning party flips and you don't - you lose
- naturally with every new election the probability of bellwether counties becoming fewer increases
- in 2016 already an unprecedented amount of em got it wrong
- in 2020 even more of em got it wrong
- both elections were very polarizing
- bellwethers - and the name wasn't chosen accidentally - are used for predictions
- other instruments of prediction, such as polls, have proven to be unsharp leading up to 2016 and since
 

John Lee Pettimore

Further south than you
May 18, 2021
6,302
6,719
Do me two favors tho:
- no videos or memes
- try to write easy English, normally I'd say I can understand most stuff pretty good, but I swear some of the sentences you put together are not meant to be understood by the foreign
He throws a couple of needless five-dollar words into every sentence to make himself seem smart. It's a common trick used by one-dollar minds.

??
 

John Lee Pettimore

Further south than you
May 18, 2021
6,302
6,719
You mean my in-doctor-nation degree?
No, I mean anything that says that you

a) had heard the word "covid" two years ago

b) got your "knowledge" from any place other than YouTube

c) did anything other than start with "of course this is a conspiracy, just like everything!" and then spent the next year trawling the Internet for conspiracy bullshit to agree with what you've already decided

??
 
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Speaker to Animals

encephalopathetic
May 16, 2021
8,161
7,370
It continues to be sad watching Donald Trump turn the entire Republican party into the biggest bunch of "no fair!" crybabies that aren't actual infants.
Fucking hell.
6619645fbfb6078b53ca00cc6637f660e8-four-seasons-trump.2x.rsquare.w536.jpg
This is what the GOP has become.
 

Greenbean

Posting Machine
Nov 14, 2015
3,003
4,366
It continues to be sad watching Donald Trump turn the entire Republican party into the biggest bunch of "no fair!" crybabies that aren't actual infants.
Fucking hell.
View attachment 38976
This is what the GOP has become.
Odd venue for sure without any context. But what have they become that this picture is supposed to illustrate?
 

Speaker to Animals

encephalopathetic
May 16, 2021
8,161
7,370
Odd venue for sure without any context. But what have they become that this picture is supposed to illustrate?
The fantasy. The long, pointless fantasy.

"Trump's but a walking shadow, a poor player,
That struts and frets his hour upon the stage,
And then is heard no more. It is a tale
Told by an idiot, full of sound and fury,
Signifying nothing."