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Freeloading Rusty

Here comes Rover, sniffin’ at your ass
Jan 11, 2016
26,916
26,589
It is.
But it's not.

Especially for kids. Force kids who have like a .00000001% chance of getting dead from Covid to get a vax that can have negative side effects with life-long complications.
A .00000001% chance of negative side effects is a concern for you?
 

Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
44,116
89,914

"What surge?"

I don't have the data to know if its good, but the data cited by CDC says that omicron has a shorter viral shedding period and that's the reason for the change. If that's true, then shortening the quarantine period and then just masking afterwards is exactly a good plan. Quarantine is individual lockdown. Like social lockdowns it has benefits and harms. Need to minimize those harms if they can't be justified.
 

Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
44,116
89,914
Primary source Filthy @Filthy

Discussion by the author


BeardOfKnowledge @BeardOfKnowledge (Admin)
What's the take home here? Are you saying this supports that covid numbers are not under counted?
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,626
56,162
Primary source Filthy @Filthy

Discussion by the author


BeardOfKnowledge @BeardOfKnowledge (Admin)
What's the take home here? Are you saying this supports that covid numbers are not under counted?
My understanding was that the number of excess deaths in excess of the covid count is likely due to all causes of death increasing rather than just "Oh, it's all covid."
 

Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
44,116
89,914
states they found that 73% of excess deaths were covid,

Just so you know many in larger organizations think we are undercounting due to lack of testing.

Lets apply the 73% figure to the current modeling from the economist that uses CDC data and other larger organizations


United States
Mar 8th 2020-Dec 4rd 2021
covid 779,860
excess 1,029,960




73% That puts us around 750k within 4% of the actual number. So pretty in line with the model.

But here's where I'd caution application:
JAMA modeling was US, March 1, 2020, to January 2, 2021
Since that period there has been a significant change in lockdown, people's personal behaviors, willingness to return to medical care despite covid etc. Many of the things that drive increased non-covid excess deaths are not seeking ER care and skipping screening items. By the numbers that isn't happening at our hospital division anymore. And yet there are still more excess deaths in 2021 than covid reports and they go up with waves. Perhaps the waves themselves cause people to hunker down independent of actual rules. But 2021 with vaccines and rule changes seems are really different model from 2020.
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,626
56,162
Just so you know many in larger organizations think we are undercounting due to lack of testing.
I'm sure they do, but I haven't seen any data that supports it, and we know that people who show up dead are tested after the fact. So this idea that people are dropping dead in their homes, never seeking any medical care and that no one is bothering to look into their cause of death isn't really based on anything. Bear in mind, that George Floyd was killed on camera and then given a post mortem covid test.

But here's where I'd caution application:
JAMA modeling was US, March 1, 2020, to January 2, 2021
Since that period there has been a significant change in lockdown, people's personal behaviors, willingness to return to medical care despite covid etc. Many of the things that drive increased non-covid excess deaths are not seeking ER care and skipping screening items. By the numbers that isn't happening at our hospital division anymore. And yet there are still more excess deaths in 2021 than covid reports and they go up with waves. Perhaps the waves themselves cause people to hunker down independent of actual rules. But 2021 with vaccines and rule changes seems are really different model from 2020.
I obviously can't speak with extensive knowledge of jurisdictions I'm unfamiliar with, but here in Ontario lockdown related overdose deaths were outpacing covid like 3 to 1 that last I checked. In addition, they've just cancelled all of our non-elective surgeries here again. So yes, we're going to see more excess deaths here which will again match the wave of new covid cases. My larger point is that the testing of people for covid is pretty robust for serious cases, and there are countless side effects of a pandemic. When people start overemphasizing how deadly something is when they have little to support it beyond pure speculation, what they're actually doing is just fear mongering. Fear mongering caused this pandemic go on in the manor it has far longer than it's needed to, and in large part due to it, we're 24 months on and we still have nothing that represents a coherent plan to put covid in the rear view.
 

Freeloading Rusty

Here comes Rover, sniffin’ at your ass
Jan 11, 2016
26,916
26,589
I can't tell what you are worse at...
Reading comprehension or simple math.
Well we both know I suck at math, so that takes my vote.

Are you stating the risk of a serious side effects is higher than the risk of complications from the virus for children? Any stats on that?
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
47,508
59,417
Well we both know I suck at math, so that takes my vote.

Are you stating the risk of a serious side effects is higher than the risk of complications from the virus for children? Any stats on that?
Children have virtually zero risk from virus. While still very rare and long-term complications are still largely unknown, there are some risks with the vaccine.

 

Rambo John J

Baker Team
First 100
Jan 17, 2015
75,258
74,400
Children have virtually zero risk from virus. While still very rare and long-term complications are still largely unknown, there are some risks with the vaccine.

Listen to JRE 1747 for more on this topic, Kids/Teens/Young Adults/Adults should not be getting injected with this crapola...and if they choose to they should be informed of the risks beforehand(they are not)
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
47,508
59,417
Listen to JRE 1747 for more on this topic, Kids/Teens/Young Adults/Adults should not be getting injected with this crapola...and if they choose to they should be informed of the risks beforehand(they are not)
Can you timestamp it?
Ain't nobody got time for a 3 hour podcast.
 

John Lee Pettimore

Further south than you
May 18, 2021
6,302
6,718
Been that way since almost the beginning
Used to bug me but then I just said Fuck it, whatever
Yeah it annoys me as well, how many posters are only interested in having a little circle jerk with their Internet mates. High school bitchy girl gossipy drama bullshit, is what a lot of it comes off as to me.

??
 

Rambo John J

Baker Team
First 100
Jan 17, 2015
75,258
74,400
Can you timestamp it?
Ain't nobody got time for a 3 hour podcast.
I have time for 3 hour pods
I can't timestamp it because I can't find a the full episode on youtube, only short clips
Basically the spike protein does damage to some people, whether from catching the virus or taking the vaccine...and the damage isn't nearly as rare as the media and sales pitch claims

I recommend a listen if you have a long drive or the time, early treatment(pre hospital) is where it is at, not this wait until your all fucked up and go to the hospital when it gets bad. Important stuff to know for those who are really fearful and shook by the possibility of catching a rona.

PS

Lets Go Brandon