UFC 187 Betting advice

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Team Bisping

TMMAC Addict
First 100
Jan 16, 2015
6,487
10,428
Evening fuckers, I mean gorgeous people.

So I'm about to put a parlay down but in need of advice, I got:

Weidman - Decision : 3.2
Johnson - KO/TKO : 3.0
Cowboy: 1.22
Browne KO/TKO: 1.66
Benavidez: 1.16

5 Fold Multiple of: 22.81

What you think? Any suggestions welcome!
 

La Paix

Fuck this place
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
38,253
64,404
I'm not betting on the main but I'd reconsider it going the distance.
 

teamquestnorth

Lindland never cheated
Jan 27, 2015
15,422
28,226
ArlovskI will beat Browne and betting against Vitor is just real dumb. Everything else looks good though.
 

sgotwalks

First 100
First 100
Jan 16, 2015
1,300
2,579
This thread just reminded me I'm late for my gambler's anonymous meeting today. It started at ten to one!
 

Stephen J Rivers

Active Member
Mar 14, 2015
52
98
Evening fuckers, I mean gorgeous people.

So I'm about to put a parlay down but in need of advice, I got:

Weidman - Decision : 3.2
Johnson - KO/TKO : 3.0
Cowboy: 1.22
Browne KO/TKO: 1.66
Benavidez: 1.16

5 Fold Multiple of: 22.81

What you think? Any suggestions welcome!
I'll preface everything I am about to say with the following. I am a terrible sports bettor, I try to avoid it as much as possible, and when I do have a go I rarely win anything. I convince myself that because I used to play poker for a living, I know how all this stuff works, even though they are entirely different. So, if I sound even remotely like I know what I'm talking about ignore it, it's all bravado. Never, ever, take my advice. I mean it. Seriously, I'll either talk you out of something that wins, or talk you into something that loses.

So, yeah, I don't like the bet above. I rarely like anything that has so many variables especially in a sport that already has a bunch of them. Picking five outright winners is hard enough, once you start throwing in specific finishes, no matter how plausible they all seem individually, it just seems like wasted cash.

I think the most likely bust there is Browne stopping Arlovski. I'm not 100% sure that he wins. I think Arlovski's going to be pretty elusive, and could see it going to decision.
 

Priziesthorse

TMMAC Addict
First 100
Jan 15, 2015
10,610
27,289
I'll preface everything I am about to say with the following. I am a terrible sports bettor, I try to avoid it as much as possible, and when I do have a go I rarely win anything. I convince myself that because I used to play poker for a living, I know how all this stuff works, even though they are entirely different. So, if I sound even remotely like I know what I'm talking about ignore it, it's all bravado. Never, ever, take my advice. I mean it. Seriously, I'll either talk you out of something that wins, or talk you into something that loses.

So, yeah, I don't like the bet above. I rarely like anything that has so many variables especially in a sport that already has a bunch of them. Picking five outright winners is hard enough, once you start throwing in specific finishes, no matter how plausible they all seem individually, it just seems like wasted cash.

I think the most likely bust there is Browne stopping Arlovski. I'm not 100% sure that he wins. I think Arlovski's going to be pretty elusive, and could see it going to decision.
Wanna play hu4rollz?
 

Wild

Zi Nazi
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
93,459
135,456
DC via UD
Weidman via TKO
Cerrone via TKO
Browne via TKO
Benavidez via UD

Thats how I see the main card going.