I'll preface everything I am about to say with the following. I am a terrible sports bettor, I try to avoid it as much as possible, and when I do have a go I rarely win anything. I convince myself that because I used to play poker for a living, I know how all this stuff works, even though they are entirely different. So, if I sound even remotely like I know what I'm talking about ignore it, it's all bravado. Never, ever, take my advice. I mean it. Seriously, I'll either talk you out of something that wins, or talk you into something that loses.
So, yeah, I don't like the bet above. I rarely like anything that has so many variables especially in a sport that already has a bunch of them. Picking five outright winners is hard enough, once you start throwing in specific finishes, no matter how plausible they all seem individually, it just seems like wasted cash.
I think the most likely bust there is Browne stopping Arlovski. I'm not 100% sure that he wins. I think Arlovski's going to be pretty elusive, and could see it going to decision.