General 14 students, 1 teacher dead following mass school shooting in Texas

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Shinkicker

For what it's worth
Jan 30, 2016
10,398
13,871
No, I chose "being present" because it gives a higher probability than "being injured or killed".

For each incident, I used the average school size which is significantly higher than the population of any school where an incident has occurred. so if 50 kids killed and 500 injured, and the average school size is 2k students, I used 2k students as victims of the attack. Being present is traumatizing, and we're not trying to lower the death count - we're trying to stop the incidents from happening.

And obviously I used the standard "4 or more killed, not including killer" as the metric of "mass shooting".

Holy Shit you guys are bad at math.
Probability of irrelevant numbers vs real numbers.

Let’s look at real numbers and fatalities.

AR15- 19 kids in 1 day (in under 2 hours actually)
Lightning - 10 kids in 4,745 days (13 years)
 

Freeloading Rusty

Here comes Rover, sniffin’ at your ass
Jan 11, 2016
26,916
26,589
Why you 2A kids ignoring California data showing gun restrictions work to lower gun violence?

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Freeloading Rusty

Here comes Rover, sniffin’ at your ass
Jan 11, 2016
26,916
26,589
Assault Weapons: California law strictly prohibits assault weapons. This includes possessing, distributing, selling and manufacturing assault weapons. According to the Giffords Law Center, California’s assault weapons ban is one of the most comprehensive of the seven states and the District of Columbia that have bans on the books.

Red Flag Law: California became one of the first states in the nation to enact a red flag law in 2016. California law allows law enforcement, family members, employers, coworkers and school employees to file a Gun Violence Restraining Order (GVRO) against an individual suspected of being a danger to themselves and others. The GVRO prohibits a person from possessing firearms.

From 2019 to 2021, Governor Newsom signed a package of laws to further strengthen GVROs. Between 2016 and 2020, the number of GVROs increased from 85 to 1,284 – a 1,410% increase; of orders issued, law enforcement officers petitioned for more than 96% of the orders and family members requested the remaining four percent.

Waiting Period: California has a waiting period of 10 days for all gun purchases. The state is one of nine states and the District of Columbia that have waiting periods and California’s waiting period is among the strictest. The Washington Post reportedthat the suspect in the recent Tulsa, Ok. hospital shooting purchased an AR-15-style rifle about an hour before the attack. According to Giffords, “Studies suggest that waiting period laws are associated with reduced rates of firearm suicide. By one estimation, waiting period laws may reduce firearm suicide rates by 7–11%. Waiting period laws also appear to reduce gun homicide rates. One study found that waiting period laws that delay the purchase of firearms by a few days can reduce gun homicides by roughly 17%.”

Universal Background Checks: California requires background checks on all gun purchases and transfers, including private transfers and sales at gun shows. It is one of 14 states and the District of Columbia that require universal background checks.

Mental Health Reporting: California has some of the nation’s strongest laws preventing those with serious mental illness from acquiring firearms. California law requires the immediate reporting of involuntary inpatient and outpatient treatment, as well as those under guardianship. Mental health treatment facilities and psychotherapists are also required to report under certain circumstances.

Age Restrictions: In California, you must be at least 21 years of age to purchase a handgun and at least 18 years of age to purchase a long gun.
 

Filthy

Iowa Wrestling Champion
Jun 28, 2016
27,507
29,640
Probability of irrelevant numbers vs real numbers.

Let’s look at real numbers and fatalities.

AR15- 19 kids in 1 day (in under 2 hours actually)
Lightning - 10 kids in 4,745 days (13 years)
LoL.

totally the AR, and not the cops who didn't check the door locks or confront the shooter.

He could have killed as many kids with a .22 pistol FFS.

But let's talk "raw numbers".

How many kids will drown this year?
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,588
56,120
Probability of irrelevant numbers vs real numbers.

Let’s look at real numbers and fatalities.

AR15- 19 kids in 1 day (in under 2 hours actually)
Lightning - 10 kids in 4,745 days (13 years)
Lightning occurs in less than a second. Check mate!!!!
 

Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
44,116
89,914
Anyone advocating for criminal charges against the police?

It'll depend on details. But given that the supreme Court says police do not have an obligation to protect and serve or whatever it was where they basically said, police can choose not to act. I don't think criminal will work. Probably civil.
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,588
56,120
It'll depend on details. But given that the supreme Court says police do not have an obligation to protect and serve or whatever it was where they basically said, police can choose not to act. I don't think criminal will work. Probably civil.
That's completely fucked.
 

Filthy

Iowa Wrestling Champion
Jun 28, 2016
27,507
29,640
last I looked, drowning is 2nd only to birth defects in the age 1-4 group, and 2nd only to automobile accidents in the 4-12 group
 

John Lee Pettimore

Further south than you
May 18, 2021
6,302
6,718
He could have killed as many kids with a .22 pistol FFS.
But he didn't, did he.

He used an AR-15 variant, just like Breivik (69 kills), Paddock (60 kills), Tarrant (51 kills) Mateen (49 kills)....
want me to go on? It's a loooooong list, even just including the guys who racked up a double digit body count.

Not a single one of those guys had a day's military training, by the way.

But let's talk "raw numbers".
Lol, want to talk about firearm death rates per capita, you guys versus literally every single other country in the developed world?

Because those are the "raw numbers" that really matter when it comes to this issue. How many people are killed by guns. And there is absolutely no way to argue that your guys "it's a guns free for all!" has been anything but a disaster when it comes to everyday life in America. You'd think that bulletproof backpacks for elementary schoolkids not only existing to start with, but flying off the shelves, would illustrate that pretty clearly. But apparently not.

How many kids will drown this year?
If it's a higher number than I'm comfortable with, let's just deflect to talking nonsense about malfunctioning gates or lazy lifeguards. ?

??
 

Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
44,116
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BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,588
56,120