My hometown University is conducting an interesting epidemiological study about the corona. it's state wide for now but it will be implemented nationally and according to the Dean it will be the biggest such study in the world. He likes to boast but I reckon
@MMAPlaywright can confirm it is legit as fuck.
They are testing 500 people at random in nine different cities totalling 4500 people, in four stages. They have conducted two stages already. First study they tested 4189 people (for some reason didn't complete 4500), found two positives which amounts to 0.005% or 1/2000 people, indicating there were 5650 people infected in the state. At that point official numbers had 733 people infected, indicating that for every official case there would be four other cases;
Second stage they completed 4500 tests with six positives amounting to 0,13% or 1/769 people, indicating there are 15.066 people infected. Official numbers have 1318 cases, indicating that for every reported case there are other 12 cases. A more conservative estimation has it 1-5 official case-actual cases, more radical has 1-26.
Now you take official numbers from anywhere and do that math. US has a whopping 1,127712 cases, most radical estimation would say there are actual 31,660512 people infected with the corona in the country. US has ~ 1/3 of all the cases in the world, almost the same as all the other top 10 countries combined. this is the American virus.
They are testing 500 people at random in nine different cities totalling 4500 people, in four stages. They have conducted two stages already. First study they tested 4189 people (for some reason didn't complete 4500), found two positives which amounts to 0.005% or 1/2000 people, indicating there were 5650 people infected in the state. At that point official numbers had 733 people infected, indicating that for every official case there would be four other cases;
Second stage they completed 4500 tests with six positives amounting to 0,13% or 1/769 people, indicating there are 15.066 people infected. Official numbers have 1318 cases, indicating that for every reported case there are other 12 cases. A more conservative estimation has it 1-5 official case-actual cases, more radical has 1-26.
Now you take official numbers from anywhere and do that math. US has a whopping 1,127712 cases, most radical estimation would say there are actual 31,660512 people infected with the corona in the country. US has ~ 1/3 of all the cases in the world, almost the same as all the other top 10 countries combined. this is the American virus.