Sports NFL 2024-25 Official Thread

[BruteDion]

But Dallas's defense kept them out of the endzone all game. No reason to believe it would be different on a 4th and 3 imo

Granted, if the refs weren't completely fucking retarded ont he first drive, the GIants chances of getting it in the endzone would have been pretty good, if they hadn't got penalized mistakenly for a facemask that should have been called on the cowboys 30 yard swing that resulted in a FG, instead of knocking on the door of the endzone.

You are missing the point. Dallas kept them out of the endzone sure but that's also because they elected to not try and get in the endzone when they should have. Giants willingly made the choice to not attempt it. Dallas does not get credit for a choice the Giants made.

 

[Chimonos Revenge]

You are missing the point. Dallas kept them out of the endzone sure but that's also because they elected to not try and get in the endzone when they should have. Giants willingly made the choice to not attempt it. Dallas does not get credit for a choice the Giants made.

Pretty sure the giants were trying to get int he endzone the entire game.
Im not a betting man, because i think gamblers are degenerates, but if i was, i would bet on the Giants getting stuffed trying to go for it.
Some things are just too predictable.

 

[BruteDion]

To get back to the point; the Giants elected to "just take the pts" like Anti-analytics people say they should. That choice was the wrong choice and it helped lead to them losing.

Anti-analytics crowds make arguments like "just take the pts" because they are making the argument that it leads to wins. In this case it didnt. Always going for it =/= always equal wins. Analytics understands this because they will also argue that you should just take the pts sometimes. Just take the pts =/= always equal wins. Anti-analytics does NOT understand this.

 

[Chimonos Revenge]

I don't always say just take the poitns.

I say, just take the points when you are going for it on 4th down in the first quarter in a 0-0 game. Or when the situation doesn't require you to NEED to go for it.

Or when you are up 7-0, go for it, fail...then the other team goes down the field and ties the game, when you would have been still in the lead if you had done the smart thing.

Brandon Staley could write a book on how to fail using this approach

 

[BruteDion]

Pretty sure the giants were trying to get int he endzone the entire game.
Im not a betting man, because i think gamblers are degenerates, but if i was, i would bet on the Giants getting stuffed trying to go for it.
Some things are just too predictable.

They didn't attempt to get in the endzone when it was the most important for them to do so uptil that moment in the game. That is the issue.

 

[BruteDion]

I don't always say just take the poitns.

I say, just take the points when you are going for it on 4th down in the first quarter in a 0-0 game. Or when the situation doesn't require you to NEED to go for it.

Or when you are up 7-0, go for it, fail...then the other team goes down the field and ties the game, when you would have been still in the lead if you had done the smart thing.

Brandon Staley could write a book on how to fail using this approach

That is an argument against Staley. He often went against what a few models said he should do.

He went for it when models said not to. Then he kicked FGs when models said he should go for it. Thats not analytics fault. That's a coaching issue.

 

[Chimonos Revenge]

They didn't attempt to get in the endzone when it was the most important for them to do so uptil that moment in the game. That is the issue.

Even so, they still had the opportunity to win on the final drive, but couldn't execute....whjich is why i seriously doubt they would have made it on 4th and 3....and apparently neither did Daboll

 

[Chimonos Revenge]

I like analytics when it's used as an enhancement to make sports-based decisions.

Not when coaches make sports an enhancement to make spreadsheet-based decisions.

There is a difference.

Baseball has gone too far in one direction. A lot of football coaches do as well

For example, taking a pitcher out in the 7th inning who is dealing a no hitter, because he has hit an arbitrary number of pitches that your spreadsheet says pitchers shouldn't cross.

 

[Chrit]

I like analytics when it's used as an enhancement to make sports-based decisions.

Not when coaches make sports an enhancement to make spreadsheet-based decisions.

There is a difference.

Baseball has gone too far in one direction. A lot of football coaches do as well

For example, taking a pitcher out in the 7th inning who is dealing a no hitter, because he has hit an arbitrary number of pitches that your spreadsheet says pitchers shouldn't cross.

I think that is the issue in this situation.

It was obvious to everyone watching that the Giants were never going to win off just field goals in that game. The blame goes 100% on Daboll for not taking steps to win.

 

[Chimonos Revenge]

Ill concede that point, but i also think Daboll had no faith in Daniel Jones...and why would he?

He's never displayed any propensity for being clutch

Turning the ball over with zero points is still worse than kicking a field goal, which is worse than scoring a TD.

 

[BruteDion]

Even so, they still had the opportunity to win on the final drive, but couldn't execute....whjich is why i seriously doubt they would have made it on 4th and 3....and apparently neither did Daboll

If they went for it and scored the rest of the game is played differently. If they went for it and failed the rest of the game would have played differently. That's why we are talking about the moment itself.

 

[BruteDion]

Ill concede that point, but i also think Daboll had no faith in Daniel Jones...and why would he?

He's never displayed any propensity for being clutch

Turning the ball over with zero points is still worse than kicking a field goal, which is worse than scoring a TD.

If Daboll has not faith in him to that degree than DJ should not be playing at all in that moment.

Just go for it VS Just take the pts debates are always under the assumption that you are trying to win the game.

 

[BruteDion]

I like analytics when it's used as an enhancement to make sports-based decisions.

Not when coaches make sports an enhancement to make spreadsheet-based decisions.

There is a difference.

Baseball has gone too far in one direction. A lot of football coaches do as well

For example, taking a pitcher out in the 7th inning who is dealing a no hitter, because he has hit an arbitrary number of pitches that your spreadsheet says pitchers shouldn't cross.

Analytics is not and has never been about what a spreadsheet says. It's always based off football knowledge with your team and past performances.

I can't speak about what Baseball does as I don't follow the sport though.

 

[Chimonos Revenge]

Analytics is not and has never been about what a spreadsheet says. It's always based off football knowledge with your team and past performances.

I can't speak about what Baseball does as I don't follow the sport though.

it's essentially a collection of statistics, IE a spreadsheet, that is used to try to predict outcomes and patterns.
Calling it a spreadsheet is being facetious, but that's essentially what it is.

It boils sports down to a math equation in my opinion

It has it's place of course, but i think in this age, especially in the era of "Advanced analytics" people just go wit that, and don't have any sort of feel to sports or the flow of the game.

 

[Chimonos Revenge]

anyway, quick change of subject

 

[BruteDion]

it's essentially a collection of statistics, IE a spreadsheet, that is used to try to predict outcomes and patterns.
Calling it a spreadsheet is being facetious, but that's essentially what it is.

It boils sports down to a math equation in my opinion

It has it's place of course, but i think in this age, especially in the era of "Advanced analytics" people just go wit that, and don't have any sort of feel to sports or the flow of the game.

It's a math equation that is based off what has happened on the field and who is currently on the field now. So Football knowledge is baked into it.

Flow of the game should matter but that's not what pro analytics people are arguing against. However Anti-analytics side dont factor that in either when they say just to take the pts.

 

[Chimonos Revenge]

The "Take the points" opinion is in regard to going for it when you don't need to. Plenty of teams have put themselves behind the 8 ball going for it unnecessarilly, fucking it up..and then needing to scramble because of it later in the game.
The debate here is, whether or not daboll needed to.
It was a great opportunity to punch it in, but he obviously felt like they couldn't

 

[Chrit]

The "Take the points" opinion is in regard to going for it when you don't need to. Plenty of teams have put themselves behind the 8 ball going for it unnecessarilly, fucking it up..and then needing to scramble because of it later in the game.
The debate here is, whether or not daboll needed to.
It was a great opportunity to punch it in, but he obviously felt like they couldn't

I mean.... they were 3/4 on the game on 4th.

This was a failure by Daboll.

 

[BruteDion]

The "Take the points" opinion is in regard to going for it when you don't need to. Plenty of teams have put themselves behind the 8 ball going for it unnecessarilly, fucking it up..and then needing to scramble because of it later in the game.
The debate here is, whether or not daboll needed to.
It was a great opportunity to punch it in, but he obviously felt like they couldn't

And I'm saying based off the situation he was wrong. He elected to just take the pts and it attributed to them losing the game.

 

[Chrit]

Big yikes for Dallas with the next few opponents they have.

 

[BruteDion]

View attachment 121865

Big yikes for Dallas with the next few opponents they have.

I really wanted Dallas to be smart and to get this rebuild started off right with trading D-Law away while he still had value to a contender. But nope....

 

[BruteDion]

View: https://twitter.com/zacobson/status/1839679057442517277?t=zKJPxOC-_-1Aw6TLr4tCVg&s=19


Hate to see it. Unless Jordy is trying to ruin the system from the inside this sucks.

 

[BruteDion]

Jon Runyan absolutely loves his job. Dude is a fucking asshole and loves to take money from the players and talk shit while doing it like he was some saint when he played.

 

[Chrit]

View: https://twitter.com/zacobson/status/1839679057442517277?t=zKJPxOC-_-1Aw6TLr4tCVg&s=19


Hate to see it. Unless Jordy is trying to ruin the system from the inside this sucks.

Good guy Jordy.

Hate the fucking fines that come out of plays that didn't even draw a flag.

 

[Chrit]

Jon Runyan absolutely loves his job. Dude is a fucking asshole and loves to take money from the players and talk shit while doing it like he was some saint when he played.

You would think he couldn't hold that position while his son is in the league.