General What is the best polling data out there

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Uncle Tom Doug

Official TMMAC Racist
Jun 24, 2022
3,590
6,085
Polling isn't meant to gauge opinions, it's meant to influence them. At least 80% of the population are lemmings.
 

Mutant

Citizen of the Infernal Empire
Oct 20, 2015
1,640
2,941
Come on there has to be at least one polling company that isn't compromised.
Pollsters oversample lefties to get their desired results. Always assume Trump is undersampled by 5%!
 

CuddleBug

Posting Machine
Nov 18, 2023
1,382
2,618
There is no measurement that will accurately tell you who people will vote for, the worst and most inaccurate measurement is when they count the ballots.
 

gregbrady

Well-Known Member
Aug 13, 2024
355
630
As far as I can tell this election is basically a tie right now. Polls arent accurate to a couple of percentage points even if they claim to be
 

Thuglife13

✝➡️👑🍕🍦
Dec 15, 2018
28,576
38,501
As suggested earlier in the thread real clear politics is somewhat tolerable. I'm now a believer of the betting markets being better since nobody likes losing money lol...

Polymarket is one of the main ones...
 

Thuglife13

✝➡️👑🍕🍦
Dec 15, 2018
28,576
38,501
they are reporting basically neck and neck

What's been consistent is Trump always over performs the polling. Also any shitty Democrat needs to win by atleast around 3 points nationally to have a chance at winning the electoral votes needed to win the Presidency. Otherwise they can just steal it again like they did in 2020...
 

gregbrady

Well-Known Member
Aug 13, 2024
355
630
Yeah assuming they haven’t fixed the polling errors they consistently get that underestimate trumps support trump has a slight lead right now
 

segfault

Engorged Member
Aug 13, 2024
1,608
3,011
Guess we could pull a South Park and have an Election Manatee. Call the election on what beach ball it plays with. About as accurate as most of these.
 

DeathGrips

Member
Jun 23, 2018
12
21
With the country as perfectly polarized as it's been for 15 years or so, they're somewhat worthless these days. Almost all of them are within the margin of error. The days of landslide victories are over. Battleground states will continue to be dissected and picked apart by campaigns until the last minute.