by the time it's 400k dead, in 3 days there are another 800k dead. 3 days after that another 1.6M are dead...that's how 3-day doubling works.
our curve is 97.5% aligned with an R^2 curve. That's really really bad.
Society Coronapocalypse USA decimation running death count
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our curve is 97.5% aligned with an R^2 curve. That's really really bad.
If that curve is true why am I standing at work. About to go rent a car and then going to Lowe's w my mom?
because we're on the very very teeny tiny start of the uptick of that curve.
if you treat it like a Big Deal, soon enough, it almost certainly won't be a Big Deal.
but we didn't, and now it's a last ditch effort to minimize how Big of a Deal it becomes.
EDIT to add:
85% of the people who spread the disease have no, or only mild, symptoms. But in two weeks, 5% of the people they come in to contact with every day will be in serious or critical care at a hospital.
Because you don't understand how this stuff works.
Neither does Lowe's or Enterprise rent a car or giant or dollar tree or Sheetz. U should call them u smart asf
M
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The voice of reason.
You're wasting your time with this guy (he'll never get it), but hopefully others who might be mildly skeptical read your post.
40% unemployment will be no joke
that will also have a cost measurable in lives
that will also have a cost measurable in lives
Or Wendy's or McDonald's or Arby's or taco Bell or the pizza place or Exxon gas stations or Sunoco or car mechanics. Man they all just dumb as shit huh? And the government who said they can all stay open. What a bunch of dumb shits who don't get it. But you guys do
My grammas nursing home costs $5000 a month. What will happen when ppl lose their small business and can't afford to keep Grammy Inna care facility
how are you going to measure that cost?
M
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Is your mom a nice lady? Mine is
suicides
quality of life because millions loses homes, businesses...
family abuse of various types due to stress etc...
crime
mental health
etc...
hundreds of different ways
It most certainly is part of the equation and deserves consideration
could turn densely populated areas into a ticking time bomb
not downplaying the virus or how easily it can be spread, just pointing out the rarely discussed repercussions of the lockdown
some businesses are already dusted...and many more will go out of business as confidence will never be restored and they will go under due to overhead(health care is included in this, system will be decimated by a long shutdown)
It's tricky
She thinks I'm wrong and possibly retarded.
if you don't have a method to measure how many are due to the economic slow-down, then it can be estimated but not measured.
Estimates are that Italy's death count is twice the measured.
Courts are closed and cops not going after some crimes so as not to overload jails. I wonder how that will work out.
With courts closed by pandemic, Philly police stop low-level arrests to manage jail crowding
With courts closed by pandemic, Philly police stop low-level arrests to manage jail crowding
i think that a lot of low-level crimes are victimless.
That doesn't mean it isn't real.
Some deaths are being attributed to corona that may have died anyways...so the measuring methods are tricky on both sides of the ledger.
I merely think it is part of the larger equation and worth thinking about.
You and I are in a different situation than a lot of people...we can still work and weren't totally unprepared for shit hitting the fan.
how familiar are you with their cases? or did he just release everyone convicted of a child sex crime?
Got in ahead of me, at 400k deaths it is way too late for social isolation to have any effect, we'd be in complete melt down mode at that stage.
The issue should be with why the government wasn't ready with ventilators, test kits and a uniform message across the entire country along with an earlier social distancing strategy being put place.
If adequate testing was performed early and the positive cases contact traced for the period of shedding the lockdown is a lot shorter and control of infection numbers a lot less costly and more effective, lets you push it back into the home enviornment for and out of the community without a lockdown, or shorter period of time on lockdown.
That is pretty much what South Korea did, they seem to be the bench mark for dealing with the virus quickly and efficently, but they had a 94% compliance rate, a populace who signed some of their rights away in order to be tracked more closely by their government, due to their last outbreak of SARS, built in social distancing during normal flu season and a mask wearing culture.
8 convicted sex offenders
3 convicted child rapists(I don't need to know more than that)
they have ankle bracelets
were the child rapists statutory rapists?
do you know the recidivism rate for sex offenders? (I'm full of unpopular policy positions)
were the child rapists statutory rapists?
do you know the recidivism rate for sex offenders? (I'm full of unpopular policy positions)
Like masks?I'm full of unpopular policy positions)