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MartyLife

MartyLife

ยาเม็ดสีแดงหรือสีฟ้ายา?
Feb 7, 2020
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Rhino said:
You obviously didn't see the Trump advisor who said that these people protesting stay at home orders are modern day "Rosa Parks".

Tell me, when a low income housing development person goes on the "system", and people shout "why should we pay for their dumb decisions? Why does our money and resources have to help them?", do you also feel it's wrong? If you are one of the people who are against that, than how are you not against not paying for some dumb Huntington Beach bitch who is complaining about having to stay home to reduce the spread of a virus?
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ShatsBassoon

ShatsBassoon

Throwing bombs & banging moms
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
18,606
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On-off social distancing may be needed until 2022: Harvard study

A one-time lockdown won't halt the novel coronavirus and repeated periods of social distancing may be required into 2022 to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed, Harvard scientists who modeled the pandemic's trajectory said Tuesday.

Their study comes as the US enters the peak of its COVID-19 caseload and states eye an eventual easing of tough lockdown measures.

The Harvard team's computer simulation, which was published in a paper in the journal Science, assumed that COVID-19 will become seasonal, like closely related coronaviruses that cause the common cold, with higher transmission rates in colder months.

But much remains unknown, including the level of immunity acquired by previous infection and how long it lasts, the authors said.

"We found that one-time social distancing measures are likely to be insufficient to maintain the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 within the limits of critical care capacity in the United States," lead author Stephen Kissler said in a call with reporters.

RIP Too swole to control @Too swole to control
 
Filthy

Filthy

Iowa Wrestling Champion
Jun 28, 2016
27,507
29,640
Inside Job said:
COVID-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, California



View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGUgrEfSgaU


Splinty @Splinty
Filthy @Brian Ortega's Goon Hand

check out this data or whatever
U may like it
or u may no like it
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I saw this a day or two ago, and it's encouraging. But it's a preliminary anecdote at this point.

first, you have know how much confidence you have in the data. AFAIK, the serological tests aren't great. But give it the benefit of the doubt and take it as mostly accurate testing. When the sample size is this small and homogeneous, small sources of variance can move the result significantly. How many people over the age of 70, or very poor, or mentally ill, etc use Facebook? Actually, FB is probably a good source population for mental illness.

You also have to be clear about what the results indicate. In this case, does the presence of an antibody mean immunity? Right now, it doesn't seem like that's the case. And I don't see anything in this test that quantifies the levels of antibody.

Finally, We have to be clear about the applicability of the data...we can't just say that 4% of the state or country has been infected. As an example, if you applied their case fatality ratio to NYC, everyone in NYC has been infected and there are no new cases. So obviously there's a gap in the data that tends to overstate the prevalence the virus in the population. But how much and why needs to be determined so the applicability of the data is greater.
 
sparkuri

sparkuri

Pulse on the finger of The Cimmunity
First 100
Jan 16, 2015
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MartyLife said:
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This is an ER doc.
Other than seeing death and knowing "something" is happening, he should have no meaningful opinion.
He's a foot soldier.
Advice on what or what not to do is better left to guys with no hair or grey hair, and even then there's 100 popular opinions.
 
MartyLife

MartyLife

ยาเม็ดสีแดงหรือสีฟ้ายา?
Feb 7, 2020
1,840
1,623
sparkuri said:
This is an ER doc.
Other than seeing death and knowing "something" is happening, he should have no meaningful opinion.
He's a foot soldier.
Advice on what or what not to do is better left to guys with no hair or grey hair, and even then there's 100 popular opinions.
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He is asking people to wait a couple more weeks to flatten the infection curve instead of being impulsive idiots 'protesting' their lack of 'freedom' and spreading more infection. Makes sense since, well, he works in the ER and sees the toll daily.

I have no idea what you mean by what you said.


Namaste
 
Splinty

Splinty

Shake 'em off
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How can there be so much Coronavirus in New Orleans without 5G?
 
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