General Corona virus updates

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Filthy

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Jun 28, 2016
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The US experiences 2 “Sep 11th” death counts everyday on the year
seems kind of crazy that the US is experiencing ~ 2 "Sept 11th" death counts of excess mortality over annual average every week.
 

Rambo John J

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Record unemployment and cities burning. Yeah, es normal.
Fear and Stress are at an all time high

That kills people with or without a virus going around

I think a lot of people don't wanna admit that the repercussions from a lockdown are and will kill a lot of people

I personally know of 3 suicides due to lockdown...sad stuff but true

Lotta variables and causes are involved with these "excess deaths"
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
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Fear and Stress are at an all time high

That kills people with or without a virus going around

I think a lot of people don't wanna admit that the repercussions from a lockdown are and will kill a lot of people

I personally know of 3 suicides due to lockdown...sad stuff but true

Lotta variables and causes are involved with these "excess deaths"
A lot of major cities seeing murder rate increases too.
 
D

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Chicago ? :

View attachment 15207

NYT was reporting a similar trend in NYC where in July the murder rate was up 50% from last year.
I dont know about specific cities. But "A lot of major cities seeing murder rate increases too." has been a known trend for a few years where urban centers are bucking the national and historic trend downward. As I linked. The reasons are many argued.
 
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BeardOfKnowledge

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BeardOfKnowledge @ConorMcGregorsBeard


what explains the dichotomy?
especially, felony assaults dropping, but murders going up? I always thought of those things has gradients of each other.
From what I understand in NYC police are largely handcuffed at present. If correct it would make sense that firearms are being used more brazenly, also without police intervention, or the threat of it, felony assaults quickly become murders.
 
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We also converted assaults to excess deaths.
I'm not sure they are currently statistically significant portion of those excess deaths if you are looking at long term averages:

Murder in New York was up 25% compared with last year as of June 14, but that total was the same one the city had in 2015. Murder is up 22% in Chicago, but it’s down 6% from where it was at this time in 2017.


And the percents are big, but the numbers are tiny. NYC, the largest city:
The number of people murdered in July rose 59 percent, from 34 deaths last year to 54 in 2020

Even there we are talking about 20/NYC Population extra over year with a 10 year excess death average much higher than 2019 anyways.


It's worth noting the harm, but then when I look at that harm, it seems a much lower focus than so much other harm. And since you raised a quantifiable item (excess deaths) it barely clicks into filling the bucket.
 

BeardOfKnowledge

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Jul 22, 2015
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I'm not sure they are currently statistically significant portion of those excess deaths if you are looking at long term averages
I think it would depend on how excess deaths are being counted. The term seems to be loosely defined, but generously applied. But a couple extra murders per month over potentially a hundred different municipalities and it starts to look somewhat more significant. Excess deaths are a much more slippery slope than either side of the debate seems to want to acknowledge. Are there people dying of covid, and it's not being reported? Certainly, but I frequently see people behaving as if all, or most excess deaths are covid related, and that doesn't seem to be grounded in anything outside of hope.
 
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. Are there people dying of covid, and it's not being reported? Certainly, but I frequently see people behaving as if all, or most excess deaths are covid related
They probably are.

and that doesn't seem to be grounded in anything outside of hope.
Every week medical journals are filled with attempts to quantify the number that are COVID related (also other excess deaths such as diabets, ACS, etc which all rise in each pandemic location for many reasons). So this is not just random "hope" but looking at all causes

People have created models and in some cases have then used retrospective data from highly known and testing areas NYC to validate those models. Turns out the models were pretty good in some cases.
 

BeardOfKnowledge

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Jul 22, 2015
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They probably are.



Every week medical journals are filled with attempts to quantify the number that are COVID related (also other excess deaths such as diabets, ACS, etc which all rise in each pandemic location for many reasons). So this is not just random "hope" but looking at all causes

People have created models and in some cases have then used retrospective data from highly known and testing areas NYC to validate those models. Turns out the models were pretty good in some cases.
This strikes me as a bit of an issue:

Large increases in mortality from heart disease, diabetes, and other diseases were observed. Further investigation is required to determine the extent to which these trends represent nonrespiratory manifestations of COVID-19 or secondary pandemic mortality caused by disruptions in society that diminished or delayed access to health care and the social determinants of health (eg, jobs, income, food security).