UFC 211 bets

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Gay For Longo

Gay For Longo

*insert Matt Serra meme
Jan 22, 2016
16,758
18,007
LurkenLikaGherkin said:
Checking lines. 5d late significant money is on: Stipe (10 to 20 point movement), Joanna (20 to 30 pt movement), Knight (10+ point movement), Polo (aka Pollo according to Joe Rogan lol) Reyes (30+ point movement, but he's +300, so that's a smaller percentage), Casey (20 point move), Benitez (10 to 20 point move), Coulter (10 points, but steady 40+ point movement over a few days).

Miyao finally moved, & I think Shields might've as well. Miyao is -350 from -305 over the course of the day. Not sure about Shields, but I think Danis (now -280) was at least -310 to start the day.
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That's a huge move on shields since Danis started around -700

LurkenLikaGherkin said:
Yahtzee -- confirmed on Stipe & Poirier. Thanks for the bets, good sir.

Still open for biz 1 bet Alvarez & 2 bets (i.e. units of 10) on Sherman & Cortney.

Am on the same side of that last one as you Wild @Wild.
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I'd do
Coulter my $10 to your $11 on Sherman
Aguilar my $10 to your $12 on Casey
Line has moved more in Casey favor
I'm going with Skelly but it too much of a coin flip to bet on
 
Gay For Longo

Gay For Longo

*insert Matt Serra meme
Jan 22, 2016
16,758
18,007
Wild said:
I'll take Stipe. My $12 to your $10.

I'll take Poirier. My $11.50 to your $10.

And I'll take Jason Knight, if anyone wants Skelly. My $10 to your $11.50
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I'll take the porier/Eddie fight if you want more action
I'd do the Skelly/knight fight at even odds

I have $10 on Alvarez vs your $11.50 on Porier
I have $10 on Skelly vs your $10 on knight
 
Gay For Longo

Gay For Longo

*insert Matt Serra meme
Jan 22, 2016
16,758
18,007
krs82 said:
That's a huge move on shields since Danis started around -700


I'd do
Coulter my $10 to your $11 on Sherman
Aguilar my $10 to your $12 on Casey
Line has moved more in Casey favor
I'm going with Skelly but it too much of a coin flip to bet on
Click to expand...
Bump for LurkenLikaGherkin @LurkenLikaGherkin
What do you think of those bets?
 
Gay For Longo

Gay For Longo

*insert Matt Serra meme
Jan 22, 2016
16,758
18,007
2 other bets I'll take if people want but only 1 bet of each fight

I like maia and branch, I'd do

My $10 on maia vs your $12 on masvidal (mas currently -125)

My $10 on Brach vs your $14 on Jotko (jotko currently -150)

Edit: odds have changes
My $10 on maia vs your $11 on masvidal (mas currently -110)I know it's even odds but I honestly wouldn't bet this @even odds when I just got +120.


My $10 on Brach vs your $15 on Jotko (jotko currently -170)
 
Last edited:
LurkenLikaGherkin

LurkenLikaGherkin

First 100
First 100
Jan 16, 2015
1,521
1,532
krs82 said:
That's a huge move on shields since Danis started around -700


I'd do
Coulter my $10 to your $11 on Sherman
Aguilar my $10 to your $12 on Casey
Line has moved more in Casey favor
I'm going with Skelly but it too much of a coin flip to bet on
Click to expand...
Thanks for bumping that...confirmed on these two if you still want to do them, with line movement. Coulter/Sherm is -105/-105 now, but I'll give there if you still want to do Casey/Ag at that price.

Gonna message you in a sec -- por favor read message before confirming here.

:beer:
 
M

member 3289

Guest
BirdWatcher said:
From oddsshark



I'll do even odds if you're cool with that. Amount? I'm comfortable in the $15-$40 if this is the only one were doing. If we do the ladies I'd spread it out.
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$20 even then. I've got Stipe, you've got JDS.

Sound good?
 
LurkenLikaGherkin

LurkenLikaGherkin

First 100
First 100
Jan 16, 2015
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1,532
Re the Danis/Shields line, I think some of it is a correction, i.e. the juice on those was huge in the opening lines. It might have been 350 or 400 on the D/S line, i.e. something like -700/+350. A lot of that move is probably a line adjustment following all the money being on Shields so far.

I kind of wonder if both lines moving is largely due to a single big bettor. Both the D/S & Miyao/Urijah lines moved at the same time.

Anyway, the Danis side shrinking that much is definitely an effort to even out the pools and get money to enter on the Danis side.

Was just puzzling over the gigantic-ness of the juice in these plays. I bet Miyao at -305, but the juice was about the same as now, a gap of about 100 on that price. At -350 now, you're paying 100 per bet unit to play -- that's pretty fukin gigantic. But, you don't play the juice, you play your opinion on "EV."
 
La Paix

La Paix

Fuck this place
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
38,273
64,364
conor mcgregor nut hugger said:
$20 even then. I've got Stipe, you've got JDS.

Sound good?
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Perfect, it's a bet.

I have no problem I'm betting with my heart on this one, JDS is one of my favs. If he can find a way to set his own pace like he did with Rothwell hes capable of out pointing Stipe as I'd says he technically better and this fight will most likely be 90% on the feet. I love styles like Junior, CroCop and Liddell. Amazing stand up with lots of lower and impressive TDD. Not wizards on the ground but they don't need to be as the usually find a way to get up real quick if it goes there. Imo Stipes best chances are to come out quick and use his speed to beat him before JDS finds his groove.
 
M

member 3289

Guest
BirdWatcher said:
Perfect, it's a bet.

I have no problem I'm betting with my heart on this one, JDS is one of my favs. If he can find a way to set his own pace like he did with Rothwell hes capable of out pointing Stipe as I'd says he technically better and this fight will most likely be 90% on the feet. I love styles like Junior, CroCop and Liddell. Amazing stand up with lots of lower and impressive TDD. Not wizards on the ground but they don't need to be as the usually find a way to get up real quick if it goes there. Imo Stipes best chances are to come out quick and use his speed to beat him before JDS finds his groove.
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I'm far from confident, but Stipe is the logical pick imo.

Since their last fight (which I had JDS clearly winning 49-46), Stipe has gone 4-0, winning all 4 fights by KO and 3/4 by R1 KO.

In the same time, JDS has gone 1-1. He looked great against Rothwell but terrible against Overeem.

Though their last fight was after the third Cain fight and JDS proved that he doesn't have brain damage, he just hasn't been active or consistent enough in the last 2.5 years for me to rationally pick him in this fight.
 
Gay For Longo

Gay For Longo

*insert Matt Serra meme
Jan 22, 2016
16,758
18,007
LurkenLikaGherkin said:
Thanks for bumping that...confirmed on these two if you still want to do them, with line movement. Coulter/Sherm is -105/-105 now, but I'll give there if you still want to do Casey/Ag at that price.

Gonna message you in a sec -- por favor read message before confirming here.

:beer:
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Confirmed
and you're right about the Sherman fight, it's moved even and I'll do even

Coulter my $10 to your $10 on Sherman
Aguilar my $10 to your $12 on Casey

Good luck bud
 
Gay For Longo

Gay For Longo

*insert Matt Serra meme
Jan 22, 2016
16,758
18,007
Looks like big money coming in on Casey, sitting at -160 now
Good timing on our bet LurkenLikaGherkin @LurkenLikaGherkin lol

Money coming in on Knight, sitting at -125 now

Something came in on Maia (might be me lol) but it's sitting even now

Stipe and jotko got little bumps aswell
 
Gay For Longo

Gay For Longo

*insert Matt Serra meme
Jan 22, 2016
16,758
18,007
krs82 said:
2 other bets I'll take if people want but only 1 bet of each fight

I like maia and branch, I'd do

My $10 on maia vs your $12 on masvidal (mas currently -125)

My $10 on Brach vs your $14 on Jotko (jotko currently -150)

Edit: odds have changes
My $10 on maia vs your $11 on masvidal (mas currently -110)I know it's even odds but I honestly wouldn't bet this @even odds when I just got +120.


My $10 on Brach vs your $15 on Jotko (jotko currently -170)
Click to expand...
teamquestnorth @teamquestnorth Team Bisping @Team Bisping
Either of you interested @ the new odds?

Edit: La Paix @BirdWatcher do you want to put another $10 on jds?
I'd do
My $11 on stipe vs your $10 on jds
 
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