General Corona virus updates

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Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
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I've been reading mixed reports on the virus surviving hot temps and humidity.
If you can find the ones that show it can survive it please link me. For lots of reasons I expect this thing to settle down with the warmer weather. Just like other viruses do. Combination of social stuff and droplet envelopes drying out.
Perhaps the the lack of herd immunity is so much to overcome those usual inputs
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,643
56,167
Maybe not due to geography in the coming warmer months. The warmer months are kind of an intervention though but anyways...

I don't see why the coasts aren't going to be potential shit shows without intervention. The wrong timing of the wrong weather and the wrong density to make this easy.
3 factors definitely played into Italy. 1) The age of it's population, a lot of old people begging to get sick. 2) They fucking live on top of each other. Single homes aren't a thing. 3) Italians do not give a flying fuck about what the government says they should do. They didn't take it seriously until they started getting shut out of soccer stadiums.

Also, as far as I'm aware the temperature thing is mostly unfounded.
 

Filthy

Iowa Wrestling Champion
Jun 28, 2016
27,507
29,640
America's got 5 times as many people, so I'd say they're doing pretty good.
you can't fail the test you don't take.

when i did regulatory (legally-required) testing, we had a test that you were supposed to watch constantly. But it took 3 hours. I told my manager I wanted to automate the monitoring with smart-vision, and he said it was a waste of time because it "never fails".

I told him that no test fails if you don't monitor it for failure...
 

ShatsBassoon

Throwing bombs & banging moms
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
18,607
33,615
If you can find the ones that show it can survive it please link me. For lots of reasons I expect this thing to settle down with the warmer weather. Just like other viruses do. Combination of social stuff and droplet envelopes drying out.
Perhaps the the lack of herd immunity is so much to overcome those usual inputs
This article seems more of a precautionary take rather than an absolute.

Coronavirus can survive both hot, humid climates: WHO
 

Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
44,116
89,915
Also, as far as I'm aware the temperature thing is mostly unfounded.
I don't think it'll go away but I would be surprised to see it not slow down some significant amount. And then I worry about it coming back in the fall. I worry about whether we're going to get long-term immunity for most of the populations or if we're going to have to get vaccinated yearly as the thing tries to mutate over time.

But as I said above, perhaps the lack of herd immunity it's just too much to overcome and it will move essentially unchecked until that becomes the main firewall. They will just see it creep up and down like parainfluenza and things like that randomly killing old people but not in this wave.

Kind of waxing poetic. Sorry. Just wondering where we'll go with this since other viruses demonstrate such variation and behavior.
 

ShatsBassoon

Throwing bombs & banging moms
First 100
Jan 14, 2015
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Splinty

Shake 'em off
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
44,116
89,915
I have a question that requires some assumptions...

1> This thing is here to stay barring something like a distant eradication campaign like polio. For now, we all agree its going everywhere until herd immunity. Then the unknown, right?

2> China has blocked a huge portion of it's 1 billion people from getting this virus through serious and total lock down.


What's their end point? Won't they have to stay under lock down...forever (virus threat forever) or they will be looking at future Wuhan's??



sparkuri @sparkuri you'll love this question with its implied answer.
 

BeardOfKnowledge

The Most Consistent Motherfucker You Know
Jul 22, 2015
60,643
56,167
I have a question that requires some assumptions...

1> This thing is here to stay barring something like a distant eradication campaign like polio. For now, we all agree its going everywhere until herd immunity. Then the unknown, right?

2> China has blocked a huge portion of it's 1 billion people from getting this virus through serious and total lock down.


What's their end point? Won't they have to stay under lock down...forever (virus threat forever) or they will be looking at future Wuhan's??



sparkuri @sparkuri you'll love this question with its implied answer.
Funny, you mention this. I was talking with a co-worker yesterday and pointed out that the more we do to slow the spread, the longer it's going to take for it to run its course. It's possible that all we're doing is delaying te inevitable.