History shows it always does every few years,..but with that in mind..experts expected the economy to tank a year ago. It didnt. It's funny how ending job killing regulations and giving workers job security and a tax cut can make them spend more and thus have a great economy. It was that simple
The economy didn't tank because of government spending and a bit of luck related to some of our peers being less competitive for a variety of reasons that aren't really our doing. Those reasons are going to recover. The market anticipated a contraction and did a huge amount of moving and preparation for it which has interestingly become a self-fulfilling prophecy to slow the drop.
There's a trillion dollars worth of boom time government deficit spending that's unusual...
What's the monetary policy plan when things crash? The fundamentals aren't actually very good. It's all on credit even down to the individuals.
So when things go down what will the government do? Historically that's the time to ease up credit and ramp up spending to take up the slack from the private market.
But the government is failing to do that right now. Instead we are running heavy deficits and lots of credit with low interest rates.
What tools will the government have when the economy contracts? European negative interest rates? 2 trillion dollar deficits?
Other than the Bernie's of the world, No one thinks we need to get crazy and taxing to cover this all at once. But as the private market heats up the government intervention should be backing off to put away some seed for the bad times. It isn't and that's a direct failure of government. Not Just some ebb and flow cycle of the market.