Sports NFL 2024-25 Official Thread

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Chrit

RdotC
Aug 13, 2024
1,663
1,361
No. I don't gamble. I being myself
You bet on ideas. That is the difference. You need "easy money". I win without it. I face the strongest. I win. I can compete. I can be clever and sneaky, but why? I will win head to head anyway. Come on with your best. Let's fucking go.

You're legitimately sounding insane.

I think this is where I leave you be and hope you make it out the other side.

Seek help.
 

Doomsday

Well-Known Member
Aug 13, 2024
628
312
You're legitimately sounding insane.

I think this is where I leave you be and hope you make it out the other side.

Seek help.
Good game. You were a decent competitor, you lacked the resolve to be a Champion. That is still very well done.
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
48,824
60,866
Lamar Jackson closing in on another crazy record.

If Baltimore is scheduled for the Black Friday game next year, Lamar could become the first player with a win on every day of the week. He's currently only missing a Friday win.
When would he have played on a Tuesday?
 

Chrit

RdotC
Aug 13, 2024
1,663
1,361
1735240254966.png

Tuesday game was against Dallas.... during the Covid season where a bunch of games got postponed to weird times.
 

Hauler

Been fallin so long it's like gravitys gone
Feb 3, 2016
48,824
60,866
No. I don't gamble. I being myself
You bet on ideas. That is the difference. You need "easy money". I win without it. I face the strongest. I win. I can compete. I can be clever and sneaky, but why? I will win head to head anyway. Come on with your best. Let's fucking go.
What time did you start tipping the bottle this morning bruh?

Y'all beat the Steelers. Let's not get too worked up.

 

Wild

Zi Nazi
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
92,868
134,450
Bills should also scare ya, +Lions and Eagles and probably someone else

I have some super long odds small bets on Broncos to shock the world, hope they get in and are playing with house money.
Bills and Eagles don't scare me nearly as much as the Ravens and Lions. I think the SB winner is one of those three teams (Ravens, Lions, Chiefs).
 

Rambo John J

Baker Team
First 100
Jan 17, 2015
76,997
76,167
Bills and Eagles don't scare me nearly as much as the Ravens and Lions. I think the SB winner is one of those three teams (Ravens, Lions, Chiefs).
I would bet those

I'm a big believer in a team getting hot at the right time. It only takes 4 or 3 in a row once you get into the playoffs, home advantage seems to be getting less powerful in todays NFL.

Chiefs Ravens Bills Lions are hot right now, Vikings totally under the radar and on a 9 game win streak or so.
 

marvin eats men

Well-Known Member
Aug 23, 2024
258
327
Caleb suffering from PTSD out there tonight from all the sacks he's taken this season. The end of the season can't come quick enough.
 

itskrisdude

Well-Known Member
Aug 13, 2024
712
843
One of the worst games I’ve ever watched, and at this point would tie the lowest combined point total for a game in Seahawks history.
 

Bad Monkey

Active Member
Aug 13, 2024
273
212
I’ve seen 7year olds with better play calling on Madden.
Chicago needs to fire everyone. Focus on putting an o line together. Then fire more people, all the way down to the janitor.
 

Chrit

RdotC
Aug 13, 2024
1,663
1,361
What is Expected Points Added?


Expected Points Added, commonly referred to as EPA, is a measure of how well a team performs relative to expectation. For example, if a team starts a drive on the 50-yard line, its expected points to start the drive would be about 2.5. If the team ends the drive with a field goal, thus gaining 3 points, its EPA for that drive would be found by subtracting its expected points from how many points it actually gained, 3 – 2.5 or 0.5 EPA.


This same logic can be applied to individual plays. Say the Chiefs start with the ball first-and-10 from their 25-yard line, where its expected points would be about 1.06. If Patrick Mahomes throws a 15-yard completion, making it first-and-10 on the KC 40-yard line, where the expected points is now 1.88, the EPA of that play would be 1.88 – 1.06 or 0.82. In other words, that completion increased the Chiefs’ expected points on that drive by just over three-fourths of a point. If Mahomes was sacked for a 10-yard loss instead of the completion, making it second-and-20 from their own 15, the new expected points would be about -0.54 and the EPA for that play would be -0.54 – 1.06 or -1.6. This means the sack decreased the amount of points the Chiefs were expected to score on that drive by 1.6 points.


TLDR: EPA is nerd shit... created by nerds... for nerds to consume.
 

NotBanjaxo

Formerly someone other than Banjaxo
Nov 16, 2019
9,433
19,200
What is Expected Points Added?


Expected Points Added, commonly referred to as EPA, is a measure of how well a team performs relative to expectation. For example, if a team starts a drive on the 50-yard line, its expected points to start the drive would be about 2.5. If the team ends the drive with a field goal, thus gaining 3 points, its EPA for that drive would be found by subtracting its expected points from how many points it actually gained, 3 – 2.5 or 0.5 EPA.


This same logic can be applied to individual plays. Say the Chiefs start with the ball first-and-10 from their 25-yard line, where its expected points would be about 1.06. If Patrick Mahomes throws a 15-yard completion, making it first-and-10 on the KC 40-yard line, where the expected points is now 1.88, the EPA of that play would be 1.88 – 1.06 or 0.82. In other words, that completion increased the Chiefs’ expected points on that drive by just over three-fourths of a point. If Mahomes was sacked for a 10-yard loss instead of the completion, making it second-and-20 from their own 15, the new expected points would be about -0.54 and the EPA for that play would be -0.54 – 1.06 or -1.6. This means the sack decreased the amount of points the Chiefs were expected to score on that drive by 1.6 points.


TLDR: EPA is nerd shit... created by nerds... for nerds to consume.
 

Rambo John J

Baker Team
First 100
Jan 17, 2015
76,997
76,167
View attachment 136520

Jameis Winston: Literally incapable of going through progressions.
Naw that chart is BS, some cherrypicked stats
Some of those QBs do read the field well and it shows they don't, and some that is shows read the field are horrible post snap diagnosing QBs.

Yes EPA has a lot to do with things out of the QBs control, more of a team stat
 
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