Anybody that wants to complain about the current economic impact of interventions (go right ahead it's a valid thought) needs to do a few things to be consistent and not just a simple contrarian that can't see past their nose.
You must be able to answer the following variables with some kind of valid information:
- what's the cost of the current interventions? Don't just complain about it, point out the actual lost cost in whatever measures you are valuing.
-what's the economic cost of 2 million dead?
Don't just complain about the models. That's straight down the middle of every single model that says what happens with no intervention. The only significant disagreements in the models is what to do after lockdown. Everybody agrees 1 million to 4 million dead and the need for a 3 to 4 week hardlock down followed by various arguments about tapering afterwards. If you can show the world why all of the models are wrong, then go right ahead. But that's a bigger ask than simply calculating the economic cost of not intervention.
- finally you have to be able to ethically justify what amount of cost you will trade for a life. If the economic cost between the two options of intervention and non intervention are the same you then have to tell me how many people are okay to die through non intervention to justify non intervention. If the cost of intervention is twice as much as the cost of non-intervention, then you have to go and clearly discuss how many additional lives are okay to lose to save that money.
one cost is delayed
one is immediate
and truly comparing them with data will be forever impossible...u can't play both scenarios out and have reliable data
It isn't as simple of an equation as you make it out to be
can't produce numbers for effects/costs that haven't happened yet...the thread and the cost/effects economically and on the american family and mental health may be interesting to look back on later down the line...right now there is a rise in mental health problems, potential foreclosures, and evictions, those lead to other things.
I respect you perspective and opinion and hope you have a great day
