The current twitter conspiracy is that all the deaths have already happened and this thing is burning itself out.
I want to poopoo that stupidity for a second.
The only reason that deaths have been going down is New York and New Jersey. That and the other spread occurring in less dense populated areas that dont need the same level of intervention as urban centers.
That is, lots of people died there already and those ares have instituted heavy interventions.
The same twitter memes and threads promoting this idea are ignoring that the cases/deaths are going down due masks and interventions there.
This has been the case for the last month. American getting coronavirus under control has just been NYC and NJ getting their outbreak under control and then that affecting our overall stats so strongly.
Confirmed
3.11M
+62,425Deaths
134K
+810
Location Confirmed Deaths New York 404K 31,945 California 296K 6,708 Texas 229K
+9,9792,935
+98Florida 224K
+9,9893,888
+48New Jersey 176K
+16115,423
There's nothing magical here. If you have more cases in an undifferentiated population, you will have more deaths. The lag time is happening now. We will bump deaths down here in a few weeks. And then twitter will move on to its next undermining of a unified response that could get us back to life sooner.
Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, Austin, El Paso, Beaumont, Tyler are all dense enough that they could see hospital shortages. Not good.
WTF is wrong with some peopleTexas rep that once said gay marriage is like marrying a box turtle:
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Sen. Cornyn Questions Whether Kids Can Catch, Spread COVID-19, Experts and Data Say Yes
When asked about the safety of Texas students and teachers returning to classrooms, U.S. Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) appeared to question whether children can catch and transmit the new coronavirus, but data provided by doctors and government websites contradict his statement.www.nbcdfw.com
Yes children can get it. Yes they can transmit it.
Averages hide things. Just like our national average was going down while Texas, Cali, and Florida exploding cases.Do you know the average age of people dying in the states?
It's 80 here. I believe it was 82 in Italy.
Averages hide things. Just like our national average was going down while Texas, Cali, and Florida exploding cases.
We also dont' just care about deaths because on average a hospital overrun will result in a double the mortality...you'll kill as many other non-covid people through lack of healthcare access as covid does.
What you care about is morbidity and mortality risk by age group and healthcare capacity so the rest of us still live in a first world country with healthcare:
These numbers have been adjusted down now that we are hospitalizing less and telling more to stay home...but you can dig this out of the CDC. I'm on the go so can't do it right this second.
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An easy grab is the deaths though.
Here's June. And again these in flux with case fatalities being adjusted by your age brackets and testing levels. But in general you should think of 50+ as pretty high risk and that leads to a lot of difficulty social decisions.
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So you have all kinds of problems like whos going to teach the class of the low risk students:
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But at some point a decision needs to be made that if there is a second wave
Over 11,000 new cases in FL today.
120 deaths for second straight day. Before yesterday we had never seen triple digits.
That's impossible. California has been very responsible.California, Florida and Texas report highest daily coronavirus death tolls
The country's three biggest states are reporting their largest one-day death tolls since the pandemic began.www.cbsnews.com
Man, we fuck Australia raw when we roll through. Such a great country to get drunk and fight in.US marine tests positive for coronavirus in the Northern Territory
NT Health Minister Natasha Fyles confirms a US marine has tested positive for coronavirus in the Northern Territory.www.abc.net.au
US occupying army now spreading the disease here.
It's a pretty incredible brand of patriotism we have down here - 'patriotism' via subservience to a foreign, occupying power. It's like being 'anti-gay' yet constantly sucking dicks...which come to think of it, happens all the time to with right-wingers too. Funny that.